probably honestly #1. but my spare pick ups arent bad their rather good just the splits are whats killing me. since december first my average for my saturday night league is sitting around 180 185. i plan on contacting a usbc in the area within a week or two depending on what my work schd is like.
From looking at your videos, I don't think it's #1. You cross over to different degrees on 2 of your shots and hit the pocket on the other. If you're on a house shot, you have to miss by a lot to cross over the head pin. A house shot will usually give you 3 boards or more to hit the pocket. I think I'd have to miss by a whole arrow, which is a tremendous amount, to cross over on a house shot.
You may need to reset what you think it means to be accurate. Accurate means that the ball rolls over the specific board you're aiming at, where you're aiming at it.
Good spare shooting would be one or less opens per game.