I bowled in a local hdcp 6-gamer on Saturday. I was excited because my book avg is 146 from last winter, but i've been consistently bowling around 180 with all the work I put in this summer and I have the potential to avg around 200 for small stretches. so I figured I'd have a pretty good shot at at least cashing since the tournament paid 1 in 3.
Well long story short I averaged about 40 pins above my book average...and was nowhere near contention. Out of about 30 bowlers I was in 15th going into the last game, and ended up closer to 20th. And through some bad luck was matched up against the same 3 bowlers in all my brackets, all of whom where in the top 5 of the tournament and needless to say beat me on all brackets.
So I'm not sure what to think. Sure I could have bowled better, I was average (based on my last month or so avg), and I missed a few spares here and there again. But on the other hand...I was 40 pins above my book average, that seems like a lot considering the last 6-gamer (different person running it) the winner was only about 20 above his 180 average. Basic math would tell me that most people in the tournament should be hitting their average, a few above and a few below.
Was this just a statistical anamoly where *at least* 70% of the people were above average for the night? Maybe the condtions were just really easy (and I was having a off night to only hit average)? One guy I was watching did throw an 835 scratch for the first 3 games. I'm not sure I want to bowl another tournament for a while if I need to bowl 70 pins above average to have a shot.
Add that to the fact that we couldn't find replacements for our 2 missing bowlers and had to miss the state-wide jubilee tournament (which was free because the league dues paid for our team) and I had a pretty frustrating bowling weekend.